Thursday, March 12, 2009

Unemployment in 7 States May Have Exceeded 20% in February


As I have previously pointed out, unemployment may actually be higher than during the same phase of the Great Depression. Specifically, as of 1930 - the year after the 1929 crash - the unemployment rate was 8.7 percent.

As of December 2008, U-6 unemployment was 13.5 percent. (U-6 is actually more accurate, because it includes those who would like full-time work, but can only find part-time work, or have given up looking for work altogether). And PhD economists John Williams and Paul Craig Roberts - former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury and former editor of the Wall Street Journal - both say that if the unemployment rate was calculated as it was during the Great Depression, today's figure would actually be 17.5% nationally.

Yesterday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics published a report showing that 7 states had unemployment rates above 10% in February. Ranked from largest to smallest, they are:

  • Michigan: 12.5 %

  • Rhode Island: 11.4 %

  • South Carolina: 10.9 %

  • Oregon: 10.9 %

  • California: 10.6%

  • North Carolina: 10.3%

  • Nevada: 10.2%
There are also numerous states with 9% unemployment.

Remember, that these figures are calculated using U-3. The U-6 unemployment numbers for some of these states probably exceeds 20%, which is substantially higher than the numbers for the comparable period of 1930 (today is comparable to 1930 because we are one year or less into the current financial crisis).

Indeed, unemployment is accelerating, and so by the end of this year, unemployment could be even higher.

3 comments:

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  2. It seems to me that most Americans are just suffering quietly. Besides unemployment, many are getting hours cut, but the general theme of the way of life here is to not let others know that you really are suffering, it's just so un-American to not be "upwardly mobile" or whatever the term is.

    Honestly, I wonder how long it will take before the veil of denial is whisked away.

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